To use an example, I don't think Eli Manning has the rsum of a Hall of Fame quarterback, but history tells us that most quarterbacks who win two Super Bowls typically get in. As he turns 30 in September, Gilmore probably needs at least two more seasons in which he has a credible case as the best cornerback in football -- or a really long peak. In both cases, I'm looking mostly at the historical output for first overall picks. If you want to know why people are excited about the Cowboys' offense in 2020, consider that they could have as many as five future Hall of Famers lining up when everyone's healthy. In the running (40% to 69%): WR A.J. Adam Vinatieri will eventually join Jan Stenerud and Morten Andersen, but those guys averaged 22 seasons in the league. Given the ages of Gilmore and Patrick Peterson, Ramsey is neck-and-neck with White and Marshon Lattimore as the likely best cornerback in football over the next five years. Also, if a guy enters the league at a young age, he could theoretically have a longer NFL career, which would give him more time in the second half (or post-peak portion) of his career to put up the accumulation stats often needed to bolster a Hall-of-Fame case. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Allen will have a tougher time (presumably) without Yannick Ngakoue or Calais Campbell around in 2020, but he's off to a great start. All but. He has now made three consecutive Pro Bowls, although his only first-team All-Pro nod came in 2017. The Defensive Player of the Year candidate was named a first-team All-Pro in 2015 and 2019, but he hasn't received any other nominations across his other five pro seasons. Evans is just one of four NFL players ever to have 1,000 yards receiving as a 21-year-old rookie. The big deal he signed with the Jags and the subsequent 14.5-sack campaign he posted in leading them to the AFC Championship Game turned the tide, as Campbell was a first-team All-Pro and made three consecutive Pro Bowl trips with Jacksonville. Erica Farber and Bill Siemering, prominent figures in U.S. commercial radio and public radio, respectively, are among eight new members of the Radio Hall of Fame. He doesn't need that sort of individual production to make it to the Hall of Fame, but the guys who made it in without a single first-team All-Pro appearance needed something else. Last season, Thomas became the second wide receiver to win Offensive Player of the Year. If James gets back there this season, he might even be able to jump into the Likely category. Worthy Hall of Fame (HOF) NFL Wide Receivers: The shoo-ins Let's start by running through five obvious cases of overly-qualified receivers who have not yet been enshrined. Complicating things for Johnson is the logjam of candidates at his position. Cox has made five consecutive Pro Bowls, although only one of those seasons resulted in a first-team All-Pro nod. Gore isn't quite a lock because he has never been a first-team All-Pro or won a Super Bowl, and he has only one top-five finish in a rushing title race (third in 2006). He needs to have a second act and have another selling point -- either winning a Super Bowl, competing for another MVP award or making it to a handful of Pro Bowls -- to have a viable path to a gold jacket. In related news, the Cowboys also have a running back likely bound for the Hall. There are four notable first-time eligibles on this ballot: running back Adrian Peterson, tight end Rob Gronkowski, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger and wide receiver Antonio Brown. What will define Eric Bieniemy's success? In the running (40% to 69%): S Eddie Jackson. Witten is also the only Hall of Fame candidate on the Raiders' roster. Okudah's presence owes to his draft status as the No. In a normal universe, we would be celebrating the Pro Football Hall of Fame Class of 2020 right about now. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Derrick Henry, OT Taylor Lewan, DE Vic Beasley Jr., S Kevin Byard. 2 with 6,103 yards. Should the Green Bay Packers Move On From Aaron Rodgers? Edelman has never made a Pro Bowl, but the only player with more receiving yards in the playoffs is Jerry Rice. But given the relatively small number of modern-era inductees each year a minimum of three and maximum of five now is a good time to look at the ballot in upcoming years and notable players wholl become eligible for election and may impact Johnsons fate with voters. Barr made four consecutive Pro Bowls from 2015 to 2018, but it'll be tough for him to get the first-team All-Pro votes he'll need for Canton without racking up significant sack totals. Work to do (10% to 39%): DE Yannick Ngakoue. The only eligible player with that sort of rsum who hasn't made it to Canton is Webb, and while Webb was also a left tackle, he didn't make a single Pro Bowl after turning 30. Astros great Craig Biggio had to wait until his third time on the ballot to be voted to the Baseball Hall of Fame, and fell an agonizing two votes shy the previous year. Wide receiver, Arizona Cardinals Larry Fitzgerald's career stats: 1,432 receptions for 17,492 yards and 121 touchdowns One of the greatest wide receivers of all time, and certainly among the most dominant of his era, Fitzgerald will likely be a first-ballot Hall of Famer sometime around 2026. His 2016 season was one of the most impressive years we've ever seen from a quarterback, as he dominated during the regular season and won league MVP. As I mentioned with Prescott, Barkley's Offensive Rookie of the Year nod gets him in this category alone. In the running (40% to 69%): QB Philip Rivers, G Quenton Nelson, LB Darius Leonard. The only Hall-eligible players drafted since 1970 who have five of those and aren't in the Hall are Alan Faneca and Zach Thomas. Only Campbell is in the Hall of Fame. Disputed loan at center of Commanders probe, Picking the top bounce-back candidates for all 32 NFL teams, Football historians talk about the game in a previous pandemic, Ranking the NFL's top 25 prospects: Young players who could break out in 2020, last attempted something like this column in June 2016, 42.6% of voters thought Rivers was a Hall of Famer, honor his request and trade the 25-year-old, trading a first-rounder to the Bills in 2009. Manning won two Super Bowls with the Giants, winning MVP both times. He needs only three more years to get to 60,000 passing yards, and if that gets Philip Rivers in, Ryan shouldn't have much trouble. Beasley won a sack title. Rockets great and championship coach Rudy Tomjanovich was only inducted in the Basketball Hall of Fame in 2021. He's ahead of guys like Von Miller, Dwight Freeney, Terrell Suggs and Bruce Smith, and while he played more games than all but Suggs, the fact that he was a productive pass-rusher from the jump as a 21-year-old is a positive. While injuries have cost Watt 32 games over the past four seasons, his unprecedented four-season peak from 2012 to 2015 locked up things. He rarely gets the public attention he deserves, but the Pro Bowl voters haven't ignored the interior disruptor, who has earned eight Pro Bowl nods and a pair of first-team All-Pro votes. One more Pro Bowl would probably do the trick. But during his 15-year career, Lewis has only been a Pro Bowler and Second-Team All-Pro in 2010. He joined the Chronicle in January 2015 as the online sports editor. Collins was a Defensive Player of the Year candidate in 2016 and has three Pro Bowls across his first five seasons. (Justin Simmons, who was one of the NFL's best safeties a year ago, is still waiting for his first Pro Bowl appearance.). He previously worked as the sports editor at the Corpus Christi Caller-Times. Hall of Fame Wide Receivers. Joe Fortenbaugh breaks down why Julio Jones is the safer bet over DeAndre Hopkins to lead the league in receiving yards. While guys like Franco Harris and Champ Bailey managed to make it to the Hall with similar starts to their careers, standouts like Chris Hinton, Ricky Watters and Donovan McNabb have come up short without getting to that next level. Warren Moon played until he was 44. While Witten, 38, is years removed from his peak, he's going to finish his career with 11 Pro Bowl appearances and two first-team All-Pro nods. Hekker got a two-season head start, but he has been a first-team All-Pro four times before turning 30 in February. People in favor of him will point to his stats, which are clearly better than those of Eli Manning, but that ignores the point; Manning isn't getting into the Hall because of his regular-season stats. I'll do a little bit of projecting here and there, given historical aging curves and what we know about each player's injury history, but this is almost entirely about what each player has done so far. Jimmy Smith's peak was among the best ever. The former star wide receiver on Thursday was not elected in his second time as a modern-era finalist in as many years of eligibility. McCaffrey is still only 24 and has a relatively sterling health history, so it's on him to buck history. Elroy 'Crazylegs' Hirsch, future Hall of Fame wide receiver, led the best draft class in Rams history in 1945. Work to do (10% to 39%): S Tyrann Mathieu. Cliff Branch and Herman Moore are two of the few exceptions, but their performance fell off significantly after their third All-Pro trip and never recovered to their prior level. Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Nelson doesn't play a high-profile position, but he's off to a great start. It's an extremely small sample, and Collins is another example of a player who had an early All-Pro appearance before taking a step backward, but Adams projects as a superstar. From 2000-2003, Randy Moss put up video game numbers: 376 receptions, 5,649 yards and 49 touchdowns. Likely (70% to 99%): WR DeAndre Hopkins, CB Patrick Peterson. Hall of Famer predicts controversial team for Rodgers. While Pro Bowls and All-Pro awards are hardly gospel, they're the best measure we have of how league observers valued a particular player in his time. Seymour made it to seven Pro Bowls and three All-Pro teams and hasn't made it to the Hall of Fame, but Thomas was more conspicuous at safety and was a key member of a legendary defense. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Guy made only one Pro Bowl after turning 30, and Hekker probably needs a couple more All-Pro appearances to earn serious consideration. I had Wagner as a lock when I first compiled this list. In the running (40% to 69%): WR Odell Beckham Jr., WR Jarvis Landry. Once again, its wait til next year for Texans great Andre Johnson when it comes to the Pro Football Hall of Fame. Hilton, DE Justin Houston, DT DeForest Buckner, CB Xavier Rhodes. Pro Football Reference Hall of Fame Monitor, Frequently Asked Questions about the NFL and Football, Pro-Football-Reference.com Blog and Articles, Subscribe to Stathead Football: Get your first month FREE. That's three Hall of Famers, two locks, and Martin, who would be a lock if the Hall valued interior linemen. Outside of that one year, though, he has three Pro Bowl nods, no first-team All-Pro spots and a 2-5 record in the postseason. Five of the 40 defensive players chosen among the top three picks of the draft since 1970 who are eligible for the Hall are enshrined, a percentage that will rise as players like Julius Peppers and Von Miller eventually become eligible. I think he'll end up getting in because he has simply racked up numbers year after year without missing much time, although I could also see an argument that he hasn't done enough outside of that one brilliant year. He isn't going to catch Jerry Rice, but he's just under 5,000 yards behind Larry Fitzgerald, who ranks second in career receiving yards. SEA | TB | TEN | WSH. Evans was a big-time NFL prospect. Kelce is difficult to judge because tight ends aren't well represented in the Hall. Running backs mean less than they have in the past, but Terrell Davis just made the Hall for what really amounted to a three-season stretch as the best running back in football. The NFL's 53 Most Likely Future Hall of Fame Players More NFL coverage . Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. Likely (70% to 99%): CB Richard Sherman. Pro Football Reference's Hall of Fame monitor ranks Edelman 110th among wide receivers, and that gives him credit for winning three Super Bowls. Julio or Hopkins: Who's the better bet to lead in receiving? In the running (40% to 69%): DE Josh Allen. Like Campbell, Heyward didn't earn widespread notoriety until he was approaching 30, with the Steelers star becoming a first-team All-Pro and Pro Bowler for the first time in his seventh season. Work to do (10% to 39%): RB Melvin Gordon, DE Jurrell Casey. Three different Cowboys defenders make this list, and you could make a case for Jaylon Smith, too. What Current NFL Players are Going to the Hall of Fame: NFC North Finish reading this entire article absolutely FREE in our app. Copyright 2000-2023 Sports Reference LLC. Theyre easily first-ballot selections. All logos are the trademark & property of their owners and not Sports Reference LLC. Landry's hip surgery then looms as a problem; if he can get past it and keep this up, he profiles as a borderline Hall of Famer. Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. A portion of ticket purchases is a tax-deductible charitable donation to the Museum . Texans great Andre Johnson fell short of election to the Hall of Fame again this year in his second time as a modern-era finalist. Nelson is one of seven players to start his career with two consecutive first-team All-Pro nods, a group that includes four Hall of Famers, Devin Hester and Keith Jackson. He claimed a sack title in 2017 and was half a sack behind Shaq Barrett a year ago. The only thing likely to keep him out of Canton is an electorate that habitually underrates interior offensive linemen in favor of an endless stream of running backs. Hes No. I've split players into four groups. The only wide receiver from Carmichael's era who had more TD catches was Paul Warfield, who had 85. Work to do (10% to 39%): WR JuJu Smith-Schuster, G David DeCastro, DE Cameron Heyward, S Minkah Fitzpatrick. Baker was a first-team All-Pro in 2017 and a two-time Pro Bowler, although his 2017 awards were for special-teams work, which isn't valued as highly by voters. Unless he really hangs on into his 40s, he'll finish as the second-most-productive tight end in history, behind Tony Gonzalez. Charley Taylor. I think Patrick Willis is going to make it in after an eight-year career in which he racked up seven Pro Bowl appearances and five first-team All-Pro nods and retired as he turned 30. Of the 27 Hall-eligible players who have pulled that off, 14 are enshrined. A score of 100 is around the average modern-era inductee. Here's everything we know, Richardson sets QB mark for vertical, broad jump, QB Young 5-10 1/8, 204 pounds at NFL combine, Sources: Patriots tell QB Hoyer he's being cut, Horns' Robinson: Versatility worthy of early pick, Jones: Not fixated on Cowboys' drought, just '23, Sources: Raiders plan franchise tag for Jacobs, WR Addison to Steelers' Pickett: 'Come get me', Wolverines' Turner wows with 4.26 40 at combine, Everything you need to know about Geno Smith's contract negotiations. Future Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald, though, has a different team in mind for Rodgers. He ranks seventh all-time in receiving touchdowns (116), 30th in yards (11,841) and 17th in receptions (955). Since there have been only 346 people elected to the Hall of Fame (some of whom aren't even players), we don't always have great measures or estimates for what players at each given position have to do to make it. Quarterbacks like Ken Anderson, Boomer Esiason and Steve McNair won league MVP without earning enshrinement. Larry Fitzgerald on NFL future: 'I just don't have the urge to play Likely (70% to 99%): QB Matt Ryan, WR Julio Jones. Rodgers inked a three-year, $150 million extension with the Packers last March, but reports . Most Approximate Value (AV) in a receiver's best sets of five and seven consecutive seasons, 1960-2019. Mosley needs to be recognized as the best inside linebacker in the game at least a couple of times; after missing virtually all of 2019 with a groin injury, he has opted out of the 2020 season over concerns for his family's health. The Nebraska product nearly won a Super Bowl with the Rams in 2018, but a win with the Bucs and one more All-Pro appearance would greatly help his chances. Lewan has three Pro Bowls. Browns, Jets to open 2023 NFL preseason in Hall of Fame Game If he can keep this level of play up for three more seasons, Jordan could get in. To contrast with a Hall of Famer, Derrick Brooks had six Pro Bowls and three All-Pro appearances by this point. Guy got some help because the Raiders drafted him with their first-round pick, while Hekker gets extra attention because of his propensity for fakes.
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