Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Scottish independence. Respondents are asked Which of these statements comes closest to your view? Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . Redfield and Wilton (26 February) which placed Labour on 51%, the Conservatives on 24%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. The use of this format has been criticised by pro-independence politicians. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . A YouGov poll in March of last year found that 55% backed keeping the monarchy . Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. Journalism in Britain is under threat. Scotlands political landscape after Nicola Sturgeon? Early 2021. Support for Welsh independence has fallen back to its lowest level in three years, a St David's Day poll for Wales carried out by pollsters YouGov has shown. Six reasons Labour might not win the next election alone, Urban Flight A real threat to many formerly safe seats in the Blue Wall. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Last updated Nov 16, 2022 View all Trackers (4) Support for creation of a new English Parliament along the lines of the existing Scottish Parliament politics Surveys Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. * Prediction from Electoral Calculus using the figures from the latest YouGov opinion poll. Sponsors of pro-Obi opinion polls creating grounds for post-election violence. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? Does Douglas Alexanders comeback herald the return of Labours Blairites? The poll for the Sun found. (Excluding Dont Knows the margin is just shy of 70/30, very similar to the margin by which people in polls oppose self-ID generally. Under the current polling, Labour is on course to win seats in parts of the country where it has always been a distant spectator, such as both Bournemouth constituencies in Dorset, Macclesfield in Cheshire, Aylesbury in Buckingham, Southend East in Essex, Weston Super Mare, and Bromley and Chiselhurst in south east London. Elsewhere, the Liberal Democrats have 9% of the vote (no change), while the Greens have 7% (-1) and Reform UK have 3% of the vote (no change). A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. Founded by Ben Walker and Lily Jayne Summers. Don't miss out! The table also lists some events that may have impacted on polling returns, including the 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, the Covid pandemic in Scotland and party leadership changes. @BritainElects. backed Scotland becoming an independent country. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. Data collected from extensive surveys and snap polls about or relating to Scottish independence. Conservative support then fell by a further 6% as the first Downing Street party allegations emerged. A new Yahoo News/YouGov poll finds that Florida Gov. In results published for the survey taken March 24-25, 2022 . Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023, and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Sturgeon Still Scotland's Most Popular Politician Despite 12% Margin Against Independence, Lesley Riddoch: A Nordic solution to Scotlands invisibility within the UK, Tories could be reduced to third UK party, shock opinion poll warns, Nicola Sturgeon responds to popularity rating drop amid trans prisoner row. Yahoo News / YouGov polls . You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. 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Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Analysis pieces written by YouGovs data journalists based on data collected about or relating to Scottish independence. YouGov: The Times: GB 2,003 23% 46%: 9% 4% 7% 8% 3%. In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. The latest monthly polling averages on Scottish independence show No campaigners to have consolidated their lead in the polls once again. Click here to sign-in and subscribe via a link sent to your email. Champion Newspapers Limited 20:21 22-Feb-23. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. This feed updates continuously 24/7 so check back regularly. Pollster. All Rights Reserved. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. YOUGOV has recorded a boost in Scottish independence support, with backing for Yes up four points in its latest polling. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. This analysis has drawn on the latest opinion polls that were specific to Wales and Scotland respectively. Easy-to-digest video clips. Excludes 16 and 17 year-olds. The latest survey from YouGov has put Labour on 46% and the . ), Lord Ashcroft poll, reported in Holyrood on 13 Feb 2023Full results. Exclusive: Scottish Labour blasted the Scottish Government for their inaction in trying to get rid of dangerous Grenfell-styling cladding on buildings across the country. US ; About ; For business ; . The historic oil recipe is based on what was used at the coronation of Queen Elizabeth II, the formula of which has been used for hundreds of years. We also may change the frequency you receive our emails from us in order to keep you up to date and give you the best relevant information possible. Please try different keywords. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. If you can afford to contribute a small donation to the site it will help us to continue our work in the best interests of the public. The latest YouGov poll, of 1,088 voters in Scotland from January 23 to January 26, found that Sturgeons approval rating had slipped into negative territory, from +7 to -4, since October. As always you can unsubscribe at any time. New projections based on YouGov polling suggest the Conservative Party could be reduced to the UKs fourth-biggest party at the next election. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided. YouGov surveyed 1,043 Tory members and found that 60% said they'd vote for Truss, compared to 26% who opted for Sunak, the former chancellor whose resignation helped precipitate Johnson's . Please check you have typed it correctly. It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. In 1997, the Yes side surpassed 40% in the polls for the first time. Business & professional services. Last updated Feb 28, 2023 View all Articles (514) Voting Intention: Con 23%, Labour 46% politics 1 day ago Trackers Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If another Scottish Independence Referendum were held today, how would you vote?" We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. Copyright 2023 YouGov PLC. For Women Scotland, conducted by Panelbase, reported in the Times, 18 Dec 2021Data, MurrayBlackburnMackenzie, conducted by Survation, Nov 2021Report I Data. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. Latest Westminster voting intention (14-15 Feb)Con: 22% (-2 from 8-9 Feb)Lab: 50% (+3)Lib Dem: 9% (-1)Reform UK: 7% (+1)Green: 6% (=)SNP: 4% (=)https://t.co/WMc2U2wZbs pic.twitter.com/NZ9QZygUG7. The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Delta Poll (27 February) which placed Labour on 46%, the Conservatives on 31%, and the Liberal Democrts on 8%. If you'd like to find out more about how polls work, how reliable they are and how to make sense of them, check out my book, Polling UnPacked: the History, Uses and Abuses of Political Opinion Polls, or sign up for my weekly email: Stay informed. A report released in 2017, entitled From Indyref1 to Indyref2? Should the public's feeling remain largely down. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023 places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. However, coinciding with the roll out of the coronavirus vaccine and the conclusion of Boris Johnsons Brexit deal at the end of 2020, the Conservative party once again opened up a significant election poll lead over Labour. The poll also showed a reversal on the independence question over past month, with support for secession down from 53 per cent to 47 per cent among those expressing a view the lowest since last spring. Under any election held on this basis, the Liberal Democrats would also be on course to gain 22 seats from the Conservatives. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely oppose Scotland becoming an independent country' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming an independent country' what number would you consider yourself to be?". That lead then jumped to a staggering 24% in the three weeks after former chancellor Kwarsi Kwartengs mini budget and prior to Liz Truss resignation. ", Data in More than 5 years is amalgamation of 5 to 10 years and more than 10 years, Question asked was "Should the Scottish Government be allowed to hold an independence referendum next year? Although we'd had a YouGov earlier in February, that was for the Scottish Opinion Monitor (Scoop) and YouGov have since clarified the questions were slightly different and thus not comparable. But we can't do it without you. The Tory lead over Labour was as high as 10% throughout April, May and June 2021. Scots cop claims World's End serial killer committed 'three more murders in Glasgow ', Retired detective Allan Jones claims Sinclair should have been tried for the murders Anna Kenny, Hilda McAuley and Agnes Cooney, Eddie Howe makes damning Ryan Fraser Newcastle admission as Scotland star's 'commitment' questioned. ", Question asked: "Would you vote SNP at the next General Election if a victory for them could lead to Scotland leaving the UK? ", 2016 United Kingdom European Union membership referendum, Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill, COVID-19 vaccination in the United Kingdom, Opinion polling for the 2014 Scottish independence referendum, https://www.supremecourt.uk/cases/docs/uksc-2022-0098-judgment.pdf, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Opinion_polling_on_Scottish_independence&oldid=1142782908, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK and the European Union, Scotland should become independent, separate from the UK but part of the European Union, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has some taxation powers, Scotland should remain part of the UK, with its own elected parliament which has no taxation powers. All Rights Reserved. In early 2023, the No campaign had already regained an opinion poll lead, doing so at a time that coincided with the discussions about trans gender rights in the Scottish Parliament, and with the UK government subsequently invoking Section 35 of the Scotland Act for the first time in relation to the Gender Recognition Reform Bill. In the early part of 2023, Labour had started to increase its polling lead again and was once again approaching 50% in the polls. independence? In the case of Northern Ireland, with its own political parties, Politics.co.uk has drawn on the LucidTalk opinion poll of 3 February. We will not share your email address with any third parties. All Rights Reserved. All rights reserved. View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. Forgot your password? and given the options of "For Scotland to become an independent country" and "For Scotland to remain as part of the United Kingdom", which have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. YouGov found that voting intention in 53 such constituencies in the south and east of England currently held by the party stood at 44% for the Conservatives, 24% for Labour, 18% for the Liberal Democrats and 9% for the Greens. The leader of the SNP has insisted her party was "not divided". What next for Jeremy Corbyn and the Labour left? The pollster found. ", Nicola Sturgeon claims no laws were broken during ferry contract scandal, SNP's 'politics of division' does 'not change' people's lives, says Anas Sarwar, The SNP benches will be a LOT quieter in future according to these new polls. Polling, even using the same question, can show systematic differences between different polling organisations and sponsors. By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. 48 hour snow warning for Scotland as Met Office predicts an icy start to spring, Don't put your winter woollies away yet! Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. YouGov polled a representative sample of 1,081 Welsh voters, aged 16+, between February 3 and February 7 for ITV Cymru Wales and Cardiff University. Labour has surged to its largest poll lead over the Conservatives in more than two decades, with voters turning against Kwasi Kwarteng's tax-cutting budget. "If the SNP did campaign on the next General Election as a 'de facto' second Scottish independence referendum, which of the following parties do you think you would vote for, or would you vote for another party?". However after the Scottish National Party (SNP) formed a minority government in Edinburgh, support for Scottish independence started to grow again after 2007. had started to nudge back up towards 40%. Access the latest polls, survey results and articles . The current voting intention trend can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techme (10 February) which placed Labour on 47%, the Conservatives on 26%, and the Liberal Democrts on 9%. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . This Conservative poll lead coincided with the unusual event of a governing party winning a seat from the Opposition, as occurred in the May 2021 Hartlepool by-election. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. All Rights Reserved. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. Indeed between October 2020 and January 2021, the two major parties were running neck and neck. In the case of Scotland, Politics.co.uk drew on the most recent Scottish voting intention polling data from Survation on 18 February. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. The Conservatives continued to record significant poll leads over Labour almost consistently throughout 2020 and 2021, with only a brief interlude in autumn 2020 where this narrowed. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. On moral issues, do we really want to take the American way? Company number: SC669393. This page will bring you the latest breaking headlines, and updates automatically and continuously 24/7. Please read our privacy policy and terms of use before signing up. Respondents giving answers between 0 to 4 and 6 to 10 have been mapped to No and Yes here respectively, while respondents giving 5 or "don't know" as answer have been assigned as undecided. Following Margaret Thatchers departure from Downing Street, support for Scottish independence fell back slightly and was polling around 30% in the middle of the 1990s. . The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. The latest Panelbase survey for The Sunday Time shows those aged 16 to 35 back independence by 62 per cent, compared to 48 per cent for Scottish voters as a whole. Savanta ComRes said that the poll result "should not be treated as a headline Savanta ComRes voting intention". The main table includes primarily those polls which ask the same question as the 2014 referendum: "Should Scotland be an Independent Country?". The YouGov polling for The Times also suggests widespread public dissatisfaction with the government's economic plan. Combining deep sector expertise with local knowledge to provide you with a deep understanding of your industry. This time 12 months ago, the Conservative party was still just ahead in the polls. Rather than experience a new prime ministerial bounce, in September 2022, the picture was not positive for Liz Truss. The end of 2021, showed how quickly politics can change. In all polls the dont knows are removed. YouGov, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 27 Nov 2021, Scot Goes Pop, Panelbase, reported in the Times, 31 Oct 2021Report I Data, For Women Scotland, 2023.For Women Scotland is a not-for-profit company limited by guarantee. In the aftermath of the 2019 General Election, the Conservative party enjoyed a healthy lead in the opinion polls. They do not factor in the potential for further additional regional or constituency centric swings. Entering the summer, levels of Conservative support took a sudden 3% hit following the resignation of then health secretary, Matt Hancock, in June 2021. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50% to 44% in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40% to 36% in the regional list,. Latest opinion polls news, commentary and analysis, including political and voting intention polls, by polling companies including YouGov, Ipsos MORI and Survation. If you can, please show your appreciation for our free content by donating whatever you think is fair to help keep TLE growing and support real, independent, investigative journalism. Elsewhere, the Lib Dems have 9 per cent of the vote (-1), but could be well placed to pick up vital seats in the Blue Wall, where voters would sooner pinch their nose and vote amber over red. 4th October 2022| Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "On a scale of 0 to 10 where 0 means 'I completely support Scotland becoming independent' and 10 means 'I completely support Scotland staying part of the UK' what number would you consider yourself to be?". Support for Scottish independence has grown steadily over the last forty five years. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Worst-case scenario could see 120,000 Covid-19 deaths this winter scientists, Watch: Gary Neville slams PM as he rages over brutal UC cut, French border guards warn this will be what it is like after Brexit. The commissions interim findings most notably increase the number of seats in the South East of England (+7), London (+3), East Anglia (+3), and the South West (+3), at the expense of Wales (-8), the West Midlands (-3), the North East -3), the North West of England (-3), and Scotland (-2).
latest yougov opinion poll scotland