Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Step 3. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. msk zilina slovan bratislava; battle of the brothers winner Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Multply the volume of New Jerusalem by 77. The great mystery of our existence stretches back in time into the very heart and mind of God who has always known and loved us, has prepared for us and made a way for us. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Step 2. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Dr. Ali Binazir took it further. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. The conclusion: The odds that you exist at all are basically zero., He illustrates it this way: It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. What are the odds of that? Well surely reply you within 48 hours. For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Not only are you and I contingent, we are highly improbable! Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. dr ali binazir odds of being born. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . So what's the probability of your being born? This book will rapidly bring you up to speed on epidemiology and pandemic management. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. But even if you dont believe in that, the science is enough. Lets confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10 of the worlds population twenty years go (one tenth of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? A lovely day to you. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same numberfor example, 550,343,279,001., A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. By that definition, I've just proven that you are a miracle. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. One in 2,000. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. But Im not mathy. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Go crazy with those celebrations, new parents to be. I hope you use your chance well. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (41014). I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. So he gave us an analogy that helps: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. dr ali binazir odds of being born. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a farfetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists. Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? Are they gross exaggerations? For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. This button displays the currently selected search type. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? I am only publishing a small number of his musings, but you can read his full article here: What Are the Chances of You Being Born?. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Or are we glorious accidents, each and every one? Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. There were doorknobs and doorbells where one touch had covered another beforehand. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Or stalk me (with love.). Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Because were about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. They agree to within a factor of two! But let's think about this some more. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. Its the probability of 2 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So let's say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million, or one in 20,000. If we really took it in we would fall on our knees with rapture and tears of gratitude. Onward to freedom! (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). Something was dropped and then picked up. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? You have lived your life. But lets think about this some more. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Now lets get down to some of the biological details: each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. Even if they couldn't read them yet. Dr. Binazir puts it this way: "It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. It makes me want to love better, to hug my baby more, to appreciate the miracles in my life, my family, my friends, my teachers, The animals, plants, precious food, the bugs and butterflies. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. In 1913, at the roulette wheel at the Casino de Monte-Carlo, the ball dropped into a black slot 26 times in succession. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. He was a funny guy. Ty Webb, Caddyshack, which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. Heres Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Think of yourself as dead. One number that is tossed about a lot is that the odds against your being born are one in 400 trillion. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? That's a pretty straightforward calculation. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? But, despite your being an extremely wonderful person, such a statement is wildly inaccurate. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001.
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